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Prediction markets
59 active markets
· category “Trump”
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Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
99%
Judy Shelton
1%
33 more
$64.5M
Vol.
Oct 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
65 trading now
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
45%
chance
Yes
No
$7.88M
Vol.
Jun 30
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$56
57 trading now
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
1%
Yes
No
≤49
1%
Yes
No
$242K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
45 trading now
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$232K
Vol.
Jun 30
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
64%
chance
Yes
No
$783K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
48 trading now
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
14%
July 31
3%
2 more
$27.2M
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$172
75 trading now
Trump out as President by June 30?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$8.15M
Vol.
Jun 30
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
56 trading now
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Donald Trump
99%
Shehbaz Sharif
99%
18 more
$959K
Vol.
Aug 1
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
June 4
99%
June 16
99%
27 more
$750K
Vol.
Jun 30
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
US x Iran Ceasefire
99%
New Supreme Leader of Iran
99%
2 more
$736K
Vol.
Oct 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$166K
Vol.
Jun 30
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?
56%
chance
Yes
No
$56K
Vol.
Jul 1
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
43 trading now
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