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Prediction markets
17 active markets
· category “Business”
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How to trade
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
81%
1 (25 bps)
12%
11 more
$36.9M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
75 trading now
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$3.59M
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
58 trading now
AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
18%
March 31, 2026
1%
1 more
$2.88M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$139
62 trading now
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
84%
xAI
26%
72 more
$2.44M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
50 trading now
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$77K
Vol.
Jan 1
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
57 trading now
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
46%
chance
Yes
No
$118K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$55
45 trading now
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?
CME
99%
LedgerX
99%
7 more
$121K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
iRobot
99%
Workhorse
49%
13 more
$196K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
450k–475k
40%
425k–450k
27%
7 more
$76K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$62
46 trading now
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
Google
45%
OpenAI
32%
12 more
$41K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$56
41 trading now
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
38%
chance
Yes
No
$51K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$66
53 trading now
Critical Discord Incident by June 30?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$2.4K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$200
43 trading now
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