PolyPredict
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Prediction markets
63 active markets
· category “Geopolitics”
How it works
How to trade
US-Iran deal text released by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$6.51M
Vol.
Jul 1
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
58 trading now
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Orbán - Hungary PM
99%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
1%
23 more
$7.81M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
July 31
14%
June 30
2%
2 more
$4.22M
Vol.
Jun 30
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$172
67 trading now
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
20%
July 31
4%
1 more
$16.2M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$128
66 trading now
US military action against Cuba by...?
December 31
51%
March 31
1%
1 more
$6.53M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$49
70 trading now
Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?
JD Vance
14%
Abbas Araghchi
14%
18 more
$488K
Vol.
Jul 7
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$172
55 trading now
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$38.1M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$185
66 trading now
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$10.4M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$70K
Vol.
Jun 30
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
39 trading now
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$37K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
39 trading now
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$1.86M
Vol.
Jun 30
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
53 trading now
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$161K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
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