PolyPredict
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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Middle East”
How it works
How to trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$10.9M
Vol.
Jun 30
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
68 trading now
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
84%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
4%
121 more
$16.3M
Vol.
Dec 31
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
56 trading now
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
18%
chance
Yes
No
$59K
Vol.
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$143
44 trading now
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$2.22M
Vol.
Jun 30
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
66 trading now
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
December 31
7%
July 31
2%
2 more
$108K
Vol.
Dec 31
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
48 trading now
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$36K
Vol.
Dec 31
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
45 trading now
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Egypt
25%
Somaliland
23%
10 more
$729K
Vol.
Dec 31
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$102
58 trading now
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$155K
Vol.
Jun 30
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
50 trading now
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$151K
Vol.
Dec 31
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$192
46 trading now
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
17%
chance
Yes
No
$108K
Vol.
Dec 31
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$152
51 trading now
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
December 31, 2026
23%
June 30, 2026
1%
1 more
$435K
Vol.
Dec 31
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$109
58 trading now
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