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Prediction markets

13 active markets · category “Science”

How to trade
Precipitation in Seattle in June?

Precipitation in Seattle in June?

1.5-2"
1.5-2"53%
2-2.5"
2-2.5"44%5 more
$5.2KVol. Jun 30science
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

1
25%YesNo
2
67%YesNo
$2.96MVol. Dec 31science
How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?

How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?

99%

chance

YesNo
$6.4KVol. Jun 30science
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

4%

chance

YesNo
$645KVol. Dec 31science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

10%

chance

YesNo
$100KVol. Mar 31science
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

23%

chance

YesNo
$224KVol. Dec 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

280–310
280–31037%
220–249
220–24933%7 more
$5.7KVol. Jul 8science
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

3%

chance

YesNo
$110KVol. Dec 31science
Precipitation in London in June?

Precipitation in London in June?

60-70mm
60-70mm43%
40-50mm
40-50mm42%5 more
$4.1KVol. Jun 30science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.10–1.14ºC43%
>1.29ºC43%4 more
$414.43Vol. Aug 1science
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

32%

chance

YesNo
$1.8KVol. Dec 31science
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

9%

chance

YesNo
$12KVol. Dec 31science